Opinion | Seven Theories for Why Biden Is Losing (and What He Should Do About It)
www.nytimes.com
It’s not the poll numbers that worry me, exactly. It’s the denial of what’s behind them.

There are the only mentions of Gaza:

Voters think Biden is too liberal. The Biden administration has worried about shoring up its left flank, particularly since the war in Gaza. But the Times-Siena poll found that while Biden is losing only 2 percent of his “very liberal” voters from 2020 to Trump, he is losing 16 percent of his supporters who described themselves as moderate and conservative.

. . .

In the Times-Siena poll, 21 percent of voters say the economy will drive their vote, while 7 percent say inflation is their top issue. By contrast, immigration is the top issue for 12 percent of voters, abortion is the top issue for 11 percent, the war between Israelis and Palestinians is the top issue for 2 percent and crime is the top issue for fewer than 1 percent.

  • Chronicon [they/them]@hexbear.netEnglish
    57·
    6 months ago

    Admittedly, when I talk to less politically minded people about it there are basically three camps of anti-biden libs (or at least hesistant), and until recently mainly just the first two.

    • People who see that the world/their lives aren’t getting better and don’t like that. Tends to be poorer, less media-watching. They also tend to note how obviously senile he is.
    • People who (presumably based on half remembered CNN talking points and newspaper headlines), think he’s going too far left. (tends to be more middle class and up)
    • People who can’t stomach voting for him because of Palestine, more recently, or previously other things like his racist actions on crime/busing, or SA allegations, or what have you.

    I don’t think Palestine is the top top issue for likely voters, but it should definitely be in a list of the top 7 things killing biden’s chances rn. With young people it might be up there as #1 or #2 but with the demos that voot the hardest less so. The narrative that he’s going too far to the left is manufactured whole cloth by the media, but its been pretty successful, it’s taken root for anyone who pays attention to MSM, though it hasn’t gotten to the level of being accepted as baseline fact yet, more of just a vibe.

    • Wertheimer [any]@hexbear.netOPEnglish
      45·
      6 months ago

      I would wager that a significantly lower percentage of votes will come from first-time voters this year. That’s going to be more Palestine than “our lives aren’t getting better,” partially because young voters’ lives have never gotten better. The financial crisis began when they were 1-5 years old.

      • ReadFanon [any, any]@hexbear.netEnglish
        24·
        6 months ago

        It’s wild that I’ve seen a multiple once-in-a-lifetime financial crises in the US and now it’s all kinda blurring into one rolling economic crisis that just waxes and wanes depending on different factors.