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Cake day: October 3rd, 2023

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  • Exactly, she can’t really take a bold stance while holding a position cus her stance is toothless. It would be easy fodder to just say “than why aren’t you doing something?” When she actually can’t do anything. Even if/when she has executive authority over it, it’s potentially counter-productive for potential peace talks. If you’re able to present a plan where both parties feel like they have a victory, it’s a harder sell if you’ve already “picked a favorite” before talks happened.

    I think it’s the difference between politics and governing. Being the adult in the room is important and I think the posture Kamala is taking makes me optimistic that she has the appropriate priorities. Which will evolve into political wins, when contrasted with Trump. I hope these winks to the left are done in good faith though and not a hollow effort to galvanize the base.
















  • I’ve been thinking a lot about how the assassination attempt will effect Bidens chances at victory. I read one take that I agree with, the basic idea is that it won’t effect polling data that much. That’s with the belief that there are no real undecided voters in this election. The key issue is voter turnout per party. And the biggest effect is that this will cause Trump supporters to have high turnout rates. Biden will never do well in that enthusiasm gap, which is a major reason why it would have been best to stick to a single term, can’t undue that though.

    There is a unique opportunity at DNC. Assuming Trump will do nothing to “turn down the tempture” Biden can step down as the nominee, claiming his family convinced him to, fearing an assassination attempt. That will flip the entire narrative. There should be an open primary as well. 1 debate with x number of Dems, don’t just nominate Harris, again, democrats need enthusiasm to have a high turnout. That debate will be a huge television event and it will be about the issues, Democrats will win, down ballot even, when they all say tax the rich over and over again.

    That’s just me writing a script for this shit. But at this point, fuck it, replace Biden with George Clooney. He’s just as qualified as Trump was in 2016.