SubstantialNothingness [comrade/them]

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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: November 20th, 2023

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  • I did a deep dive several months back and I get the impression that many US bureaucrats/analysts see countering China on Taiwan as not feasible let alone beneficial for the US. [edit: I think some made the point that the US needs China for solar, steel, and other goods to have any meaningful green transition.]

    I got the impression that they encourage de-escalation and a timeline of 10-20 years for a handover to occur. It seems to me like it’s the elected politicians who are using war-mongering to whip up votes among propagandized voters, using heated rhetoric and driving the resurgence of jingoism. 20 years gives them plenty of time to redirect their propaganda toward another, weaker nation.

    Of course there is a very real fear of the propagandists drinking their own koolaid, or the crumbling empire lashing out. But every day the US’ edge is diminished more.

    I don’t know what is best for China to do but I know that they shouldn’t wait forever to do it - however they are keen on playing the long game and good at it, and if they can afford to do so without hurting themselves, I think you’re “best possible outcome” is pretty likely.

    I don’t think 20 years is going to be an acceptable timeline but I also don’t think it’s going to take 20 years for US force projection to collapse.