Falcon 9, Atlas V, Ariane 5, and Delta IV couldn’t get to 5 launches in year 2.
Of the 3, I have the most faith in ULA to make it happen because of their experience and schedule pressure. Retooling existing Delta production lines seems like it should reduce their mfg teething issues. The same logic should apply to Ariane 6, but they’ve barely been launching Ariane 5s for the last few years, so I’m not confident.
Falcon 9, Atlas V, Ariane 5, and Delta IV couldn’t get to 5 launches in year 2.
Of the 3, I have the most faith in ULA to make it happen because of their experience and schedule pressure. Retooling existing Delta production lines seems like it should reduce their mfg teething issues. The same logic should apply to Ariane 6, but they’ve barely been launching Ariane 5s for the last few years, so I’m not confident.