So perhaps this is the time to have an honest conversation about the future of NATO, and to ask two questions. How do we return to the sustainable peace in Europe that all sides to the conflict seek? Is NATO the primary obstacle to this sustainable peace?
I fucking wish but I see absolutely no path to this.
I kind of think there is a path there and ironically Trump is helping midwife the process. NATO can only exist if Europe is convinced that the US will back them. Trump is openly hostile towards the EU, he’s gonna tariff the fuck out of them, and start doing all kinds of economic coercion. Meanwhile, the Atlanticist politics in Europe are already collapsing. We see huge opposition growing in France, Germany, Romania, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, etc. I expect that these two factors combined will ultimately result in NATO falling apart, and Europe creating a new security architecture with Russia. The reality is that most people in Europe do not want to fight Russia, and once Ukraine gig is up the whole EU project will come crashing down.
I fucking wish but I see absolutely no path to this.
I kind of think there is a path there and ironically Trump is helping midwife the process. NATO can only exist if Europe is convinced that the US will back them. Trump is openly hostile towards the EU, he’s gonna tariff the fuck out of them, and start doing all kinds of economic coercion. Meanwhile, the Atlanticist politics in Europe are already collapsing. We see huge opposition growing in France, Germany, Romania, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, etc. I expect that these two factors combined will ultimately result in NATO falling apart, and Europe creating a new security architecture with Russia. The reality is that most people in Europe do not want to fight Russia, and once Ukraine gig is up the whole EU project will come crashing down.