This is hopefully the poll upset I’ve been asking for.
This is awesome! Assuming they are mostly voting for Kamala… Please god
I voted like 2 weeks ago. For god’s sake get your ballot in on time. I’ve heard of no blizzards or typhoons or tornadoes or earthquakes. Do you want to have one of those things happen before you get to vote? No? So go now!!! It’s a super easy ballot. Go vote. The maga people are going to ruin us all if you don’t go vote. Her something to drink so you’re well hydrated. Get your sweater on and go! Or fill out your mail-in ballot and put it in your mailbox 📫. That’s easier than cleaning your ears!
That it isn’t 70%+ is why I laugh when people talk about women swinging the vote this election, that’s actually a pathetic gap.
Let’s just hope these numbers are so relatively low because the early votes are mostly elderly.
Not that I’m not crossing everything except the streams that she beats the fascist, but women ≠ Harris voters. Trump won the white women vote in both 16 and 20.
Even now, there’s a shitload of racist and/or religious white women eagerly voting away their own rights, so don’t celebrate yet!
Vote like your life depends on it, because if you’re a person who can get pregnant, LBGTQ+, an immigrant (regardless of legal status) or belong to any of several other scapegoated groups, it LITERALLY might!
Trump won the white women vote in both 16 and 20.
Notably, this was before Roe V Wade was overturned.
But yeah, fully agreed with this;
Vote like your life depends on it
Some weirdos would love for trump to grab them by the pussy.
Hey, don’t kinkshame.
Its not kink shaming its preventing the spread of a viral pathogen.
I don’t have a pussy but anyone else other than republicans may please grab me anyway they please.
Not that I’m not crossing everything except the streams that she beats the fascist, but women ≠ Harris voters. Trump won the white women vote in both 16 and 20.
Even now, there’s a shitload of racist and/or religious white women eagerly voting away their own rights, so don’t celebrate yet!
I am deep undercover with all of my acquaintances, and it is astonishing how many of them are single issue voters, and the issue is democrat/republican. Their only source of news is fox ‘news’, talk radio, or people parroting those two. Maga and most republicans really are a cult in regards to their propensity to not listen to anything that contradicts what their leaders say. Their desires, contrary to their party’s actions, about reproductive rights or liberal ideals won’t make a difference. It doesn’t matter if they are a woman, they are intimately tied to their party at this point, and not its principles/policies.
wow, what an impressive ~ 5% lead.
register to vote if it’s not too late, vote
What am I missing in the image? It shows more women vote early, and men later right? It doesn’t show anything about who they voted for… so I don’t understand the title?
Seems more like a “Men more likely to procrastinate”.
5% is absolutely huge for a national election
Yeah it’s hard to grasp. I’m used to 5% XCOM which is like pff gtfo who cares. 5% national is BIG.
It’s very well known dems vote early.
In other words,
Keep voting.
These numbers mean nothing if people don’t keep showing up.
They probably didn’t know about gEnOcIdE and WW3!
/s
Keep voting please!
that… 19% of “other” is going to be doing a lot of work here. if we assume they’re 50/50, then I take this as, overall, good news.
I think it’s Independent.
The Wisconsin breakdown is bonkers.
Wisconsin doesn’t have party registrations as part of voter registration (we used to, back when I first registered, which is likely why there’s some partisan representation, but not for a long time), nor do you need to be registered with a party to vote in the primaries (everything is on one ballot, you can just only vote for one party).
So that huge chunk of “independent” is probably “new” registrations from the last 15 or so years. They just don’t have data because it stopped being a tracked metric.
“other” is the catch all for anyone whose not registered as democrat or republican. It includes independents, yes, but it also includes all the 3rd parties and the people who simply didn’t register one way or other (who might be repub or dem, anyhow).
Yes, I am registered as unaffiliated, because I don’t see why the political party I support needs to be publicly accessible.
Depends on the state, when I lived in Florida you had to be registered to a party to vote in their primaries. It varies all over. Some states you get a ballot with all of the names for the people in your party for primaries, some you can choose any member of any party, it shows that the states aren’t really as similar as we think they are, as the laws for most everything vary. Punch someone in one state, it’s a battery charge, in another it’s assault; which you may be able to get for yelling/threatening to hit someone. Get caught with an illegal substance, well the substance list changes by state, the volumes required for charges change, and the consequences vary. What counts as rape, what age you can marry… It goes on and on. Taxes change by city, county, and state.
And people who’ve registered with a party are more likely to be proactive voters. Honestly there’s so many complaicating factors here that trying to interpret this data is folly.
Oh yeah. I don’t for a second believe it’s going to fall out to 50/50 on a perfect split.
Anyone telling you anything except that it’s too close to call, is selling you something.
But let me huff my copium, okay?
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wtf? are these data random generated? they don’t make sense.
there is 40% of republicans in 62 millions casted votes (so roughly 25 million) and suddenly 30% in the 63 million (roughly 19 million?) requested ballots?
either i am missing something, or these data are so imprecise that trying to analyse them is a fools errand.
About half the states allow same-day voter registration, so there may be people who voted but did not specifically request mail in/early voting, and those who did request but have not cast their vote yet. So, for many states you could be in one set but not the other.
ok, thank you. still - the fact there is such variance in the results means you shouldn’t really try to draw any conclusions from it.
Agreed. It’s basically the political version of reading tea leaves.
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How do they get this data? Are they fucking assuming genders?!!!
Spoiler: the DMV knows your gender… it’s right there on your driver’s license
Oh, so now the DMV gets to dictate my gender?!
Yes you give it to them when you get say a drivers license. Your one joke doesnt work at all with the DMV especially given the nature of the bureaucracy involved.
Texas is an exception now. And they’re compiling a list of everyone that requests their gender markers to be changed.
Of fucken course Texas is doing that. Lowest common denominator in the Union.
Give it ten minutes, Mississippi will ask if you can hold it’s beer.
Your life must be very unfilfilling if you’ve got nothing better to do than… whatever this is.
Does Lemmy have a OneJoke for these clowns yet?
Probably they are matching voter ID to driver’s license records. Thats what we did when preparing this kind of report was my job, at any rate.
